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Severity of acute SARS-CoV-2 infection and risk of new-onset autoimmune disease: A RECOVER Initiative study in nationwide U.S. cohorts

Wuller, S; Singer, NG; Lewis, C; et al., PLOS ONE

View Publication on PubMed

Published

June 2025

Journal

PLOS ONE

Abstract

SARS-CoV-2 infection has been associated with increased autoimmune disease risk. Past studies have not aligned regarding the most prevalent autoimmune diseases after infection, however. Furthermore, the relationship between infection severity and new autoimmune disease risk has not been well examined. We used RECOVER's electronic health record (EHR) networks, N3C, PCORnet, and PEDSnet, to estimate types and frequency of autoimmune diseases arising after SARS-CoV-2 infection and assessed how infection severity related to autoimmune disease risk. We identified patients of any age with SARS-CoV-2 infection between April 1, 2020 and April 1, 2021, and assigned them to a World Health Organization COVID-19 severity category for adults or the PEDSnet acute COVID-19 illness severity classification system for children (<age 21). We collected baseline covariates from the EHR in the year pre-index infection date and followed patients for 2 years for new autoimmune disease, defined as ≥ 2 new ICD-9, ICD-10, or SNOMED codes in the same concept set, starting >30 days after SARS-CoV-2 infection index date and occurring ≥1 day apart. We calculated overall and infection severity-stratified incidence ratesper 1000 person-years for all autoimmune diseases. With least severe COVID-19 severity as reference, survival analyses examined incident autoimmune disease risk. The most common new-onset autoimmune diseases in all networks were thyroid disease, psoriasis/psoriatic arthritis, and inflammatory bowel disease. Among adults, inflammatory arthritis was the most common, and Sjögren's disease also had high incidence. Incident type 1 diabetes and hematological autoimmune diseases were specifically found in children. Across networks, after adjustment, patients with highest COVID-19 severity had highest risk for new autoimmune disease vs. those with least severe disease (N3C: adjusted Hazard Ratio, (aHR) 1.47 (95%CI 1.33-1.66); PCORnet aHR 1.14 (95%CI 1.02-1.26); PEDSnet: aHR 3.14 (95%CI 2.42-4.07)]. Overall, severe acute COVID-19 was most strongly associated with autoimmune disease risk in three EHR networks.

Authors

Shannon Wuller, Nora G Singer, Colby Lewis, Elizabeth W Karlson, Grant S Schulert, Jason D Goldman, Jennifer Hadlock, Jonathan Arnold, Kathryn Hirabayashi, Lauren E Stiles, Lawrence C Kleinman, Lindsay G Cowell, Mady Hornig, Margaret A Hall, Mark G Weiner, Michael Koropsak, Michelle F Lamendola-Essel, Rachel Kenney, Richard A Moffitt, Sajjad Abedian, Shari Esquenazi-Karonika, Steven G Johnson, Stephenson Stroebel, Zachary S Wallace, Karen H Costenbader, RECOVER Initiative, RECOVER PCORnet EHR Cohort, and the N3C RECOVER EHR Cohort

Keywords

Humans; COVID-19/complications/epidemiology/pathology; Autoimmune Diseases/epidemiology/etiology; Female; Male; Adult; United States/epidemiology; Middle Aged; Severity of Illness Index; Child; SARS-CoV-2; Aged; Adolescent; Young Adult; Child, Preschool; Electronic Health Records; Risk Factors; Cohort Studies

Short Summary

This RECOVER study looked at the link between COVID-19 severity (how mild or serious the illness was) and the chance of developing an autoimmune disease. COVID-19 severity ranged from no symptoms to being in the hospital and needing a breathing machine. The study also looked at which types of autoimmune diseases were most common after having COVID-19. Autoimmune diseases happen when the body’s immune system attacks its own healthy cells by mistake. Researchers used electronic health records (EHRs) from 3 nationwide research networks to study people who had COVID-19 between April 2020 and April 2021. They found that the most common autoimmune diseases in both children and adults after having COVID-19 were thyroid disease, a skin condition called psoriasis, and a gut problem called inflammatory bowel disease. In adults, inflammatory arthritis and Sjögren’s disease (an autoimmune disease that causes dry eyes, dry mouth, and joint pain) were also common. In children, Type 1 diabetes and autoimmune diseases involving blood were also found. The study's main finding was that people who were more severely ill from COVID-19 had a higher chance of developing an autoimmune disease than those who were less sick. This means that people with more severe illness likely had stronger immune reactions to COVID-19. This study shows a strong relationship between having severe COVID-19 and developing an autoimmune disease after getting COVID-19.

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