In this RECOVER study, researchers looked at whether Paxlovid could help prevent Long COVID. Paxlovid is a medicine commonly used to treat COVID-19 before it makes a person very sick. Researchers looked at the electronic health records (EHRs) of more than 445,000 people who had a high chance of getting very sick from COVID-19. People at higher risk included older adults (aged 50 and up) and people with certain medical conditions. To see if Paxlovid prevented people from developing Long COVID, researchers compared people who took Paxlovid right away once they got COVID-19 to people who did not. To make this a fair comparison, the researchers used a statistical method called a target trial emulation (TTE). A TTE uses EHRs to make two study groups as similar as possible, like they would be in a clinical trial. This makes the comparison fair because positive TTE results are more likely due to taking the treatment (in this study, Paxlovid) and not other differences, like a person’s age or health history.
Researchers found that Paxlovid did not stop most people who were at high risk of getting very sick from COVID-19 from getting Long COVID. However, people who took Paxlovid were slightly less likely to develop some symptoms linked to Long COVID like fatigue (feeling very tired) and having trouble thinking. Researchers also found that Paxlovid seemed to improve the symptoms of people aged 65 and older a little bit more than it did for younger people. This study is important because it shows that taking Paxlovid is not a way to prevent Long COVID in most people, but it may help reduce symptoms in some higher-risk groups.